—· 每10分自动刷新
市场总览
自上而下 · 宏观驱动联邦基金利率
3.63%
10年期美债
4.63%
2s10s 利差
0.45%
正常
CPI 同比
—
目标 2%
失业率
4.20%
VIX 恐慌指数
15.8
中性
美元指数
119.7
▲0.03贸易加权
高收益债利差
2.73%
▼0.05宽松
结构性解读
- ●收益率曲线已转正——通常出现在降息周期早期
- ●VIX 15.8 平稳——风险偏好正常
- ●高收益债利差 2.73% 偏低——信用平稳
- ●金融条件宽松（NFCI -0.53）——利好估值
- ●10年实际利率 2.40% 偏高——压制高估值成长股
- ●Fed 扩表（资产同比 +1.2%）——流动性宽松
🌡 市场情绪 · 风险偏好
90
极度贪婪
风险偏好 0–100
波动率 VIX
15.8
信用利差 HY
2.73%
标普 vs 200日线
+9.9%
金融条件 NFCI
-0.53
⚖️ 股权风险溢价
-0.80%
盈利收益率 3.83%
10Y 美债 4.63%
股票盈利收益率已低于无风险利率——相对债券明显偏贵，风险补偿为负
🔥 风口榜
更多 →Communication Services86
Technology78
Healthcare70
Consumer Cyclical68
Industrials63
Financial Services61
🇺🇸 川普 · Truth Social
更多 →- Truth Social3小时前Cash is king: Washington Republicans bankroll midterms as National Democrat coffers are in the red:
- Truth Social3小时前The U.S. has massive amounts of “munitions,” especially of certain types. Additionally, large amounts are being manufactured and shipped to the U.S. as needed. Defense companies are building the largest number of plants and factories in our
- Truth Social4小时前So beautiful! D.C. is better than ever. Tender, loving care! President DJT
- Truth Social7小时前Michael Moore, the failed political “pundit” who has been losing to me for years, was ranting that, “We lost in 2024, and just can’t take it anymore.” No Michael, just get used to more losing! You’ve been a Loser all your life, and nothing’
🏛 美联储动向
更多 →📰 宏观 / 市场新闻
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